In collaboration with the Amphibian Research and Monitoring Initiative (ARMI), we are applying (and extending) metapopulation theory to assess extinction risk faced by the Federally listed Chiricahua leopard frog (Lithobates chiricahuensis) under different climate and management scenarios. We work on a metapopulation consisting of approximately 180 wetlands located in the Altar Valley of southern Arizona. Several management options exist for increasing metapopulation viability, including modification of existing wetlands or establishment of new sites. We are fitting models to data to quantify how these actions will affect extinction probability, and to identify optimal locations for establishing new sites.
Estimated colonization dynamics following reintroduction, from Chandler et al. (2015)
Collaborators
- Erin Muths, USGS Fort Collins Science Center
- Blake Hossack, USGS Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center
- Michael J. Sredl, AZ Game and Fish Department
- Brent Sigafus, USGS Sonoran Desert Research Station